Monthly Archive 2025年3月15日

Byadmin

Golf model reveals top 3 predictions, including 55-1 sleeper

The PGA Tour heads to Orlando for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill beginning on Thursday at 7:40 a.m. ET. It’s another Signature Event, raising the total purse to $20 million and bringing back many of the top players who have taken the past few weeks off following the West Coast Swing. Scottie Scheffler is the event’s defending champion and is the clear +320 favorite (risk $100 to win $320) in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds to repeat.

Rory McIlroy (+750), Ludvig Aberg +(1600), Xander Schauffele (+1600), Collin Morikawa (+2200), Hideki Matsuyama (+2500) and
Justin Thomas (+2800) are the other golfers in the Arnold Palmer Invitational field getting odds to win lower than +3000. There are also PGA odds for top-five, top-10, head-to-head and more to consider. Before locking in your 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.

Now that the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard from the model. Here are three Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, based on the model’s projections, to target:

Viktor Hovland to win (+5500)
The 27-year-old Norwegian struggled at the Genesis, failing to make the cut, but he was consistent in the prior two events — finishing T22 at Pebble Beach and T36 at The Sentry. He only had one round higher than 70 during those two tournaments. Bay Hill is a course he’s played well traditionally, finishing inside the top 50 in all six career events at Bay Hill, including a pair of top-10 finishes. The model has him cracking the top 10 this week and gives him a better chance to win than his odds imply. Now, see the entire projected 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard from the model that nailed 13 majors.

Sepp Straka to finish top-20 (+145)
Straka missed the cut at the Genesis Invitational, snapping an impressive three-tournament streak where he finished well inside the top 20, including a win at The American Express. He bounced back last week at the Cognizant Classic, however, finishing 11th. Overall, he’s finished top 20 in five of seven PGA events this year and he ranks 11th on tour in total strokes gained. The model has him finishing well inside the top 20, making this a strong value with the the plus-money payout. Get Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets for a $1 million parlay from expert Eric Cohen, who correctly predicted the pre-tournament outright winner in seven events over the last two seasons, right here.

Justin Thomas to finish top-5 (+410)
The 15-time PGA Tour winner has been in a win drought since 2022, but he’s getting close to a return to the top of a leaderboard. He’s finished T9 or better three times already this season. If you’re not ready to back him as an outright winner (+2800) yet, the top-five market still brings a big return for Thomas this week, and the model likes his chances of hitting this prop. Get Arnold Palmer Invitational picks here from Patrick McDonald, the expert who called Jake Knapp’s win (50-1) at last year’s Mexico Open.

Full Arnold Palmer Inivitational 2025 picks
You’ve seen the latest best bets from the model. Now, see the complete Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard, including forecasted finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and more. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

You can also view expert advice before locking in your PGA Tour picks: Visit SportsLine now to see golf insider Eric Cohen’s best bets for a 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational $1 million dollar parlay, all from the expert who has predicted seven outright tournament winners over the last two years.

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field, golfers
See the full 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +320
Rory McIlroy +750
Ludvig Aberg +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Justin Thomas +2800
Patrick Cantlay +3000
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Sungjae Im +4500
Will Zalatoris +5000
Sam Burns +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Maverick McNealy +5500
Wyndham Clark +6000
Robert MacIntyre +6000
Tony Finau +6000
Russell Henley +6500
Shane Lowry +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Sepp Straka +7000
Corey Conners +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Tom Kim +7500
Michael Kim +8000
Jason Day +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Jake Knapp +8000
Denny Mccarthy +9000
Adam Scott +9000
Min Woo Lee +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Billy Horschel +10000
Aaron Rai +11000
Max Greyserman +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Samuel Stevens +11000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Cameron Young +11000
Sahith Theegala +11000
Thomas Detry +11000
Lucas Glover +12000
Brian Harman +12000
Alex Smalley +12000|
J.T. Poston +12000
Aldrich Potgieter +12000
Byeong Hun An +12000
Taylor Moore +12000
Nick Taylor +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Isaiah Salinda +15000

Where to bet on PGA Tour tournaments
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, along with the various PGA Tour sportsbook promos they currently offer.

Byadmin

Surprising predictions from model that’s nailed 13 majors

The PGA Tour schedule has two tournaments this week with the 2025 Puerto Rico Open playing opposite the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The former will be held at Grand Reserve Golf Club in Rio Grande. The event will be contested at the Championship Course, a par-72, 7,506-yard course which checks out as the seventh-longest on tour this season. Even with the length, low scores will be expected at the Puerto Rico Open 2025 as the last five winners have all shot 19-under-par or better, including last year’s champion, Brice Garnett at 19-under.

Play tees off on Thursday, and despite his achievement a year ago, Garnett is a 40-1 long shot. The favorite in the latest 2025 Puerto Rico Open odds is Niklas Norgaard (18-1), with Ryan Gerard just behind him at 20-1. Michael Thorbjornsen (22-1), the former PGA Tour University No. 1, is the only other golfer at 25-1 or shorter as he’s coming off his best finish (T39) of the year at the Cognizant Classic. Before locking in your 2025 Puerto Rico Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.

Now that the 2025 Puerto Rico Open field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2025 Puerto Rico Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Puerto Rico Open: Ryan Gerard, one of the top favorites at 20-1, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top five. Gerard has made the cut in each of his last six PGA Tour events, including all five this year, but he hasn’t truly threatened to win any of those tournaments. He has zero top 10s across this stretch, and for his PGA Tour career, the former UNC Tar Heel has just a pair of top 10s across 29 starts.

Gerard is solid with iron play but lacks length off the tee, which could be an issue this week. At 7,506 yards, Grand Reserve Country Club is the seventh-longest course on tour this season, and Gerard ranks 115th in driving distance — all drives, as well as 107th in total driving efficiency. His work on the greens also leaves lots to be desired as Gerard is 91st on tour in putting average. For someone who has obvious holes in his game and has yet to see his name near the top of the leaderboard, there are far better options to utilize Puerto Rico Open 2025 bets on. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Matti Schmid, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Schmid is coming off a solid 18th-place finish at the Cognizant Classic and has had previous success at the Puerto Rico Open. He was in contention for winning it all a year ago as he entered the final round tied for second before a rough Sunday, but he still finished the tournament with a top 10 finish.

As the coastal course that Grand Reserve is, wind can often wreck shots off the tee. However, Schmid has the power to mitigate windy conditions as he ranks 30th in driving distance out of 184 qualified golfers. Those long drives often lead to advantageous putting opportunities, and Schmid takes advantage of those. The German ranks 18th on tour in total putting but ranks third amongst those in the 2025 Puerto Rico Open field. Few can combine Schmid’s impressive course history with a game that suits this course, so he shouldn’t be overlooked despite his long odds. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2025 Puerto Rico Open picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2025 Puerto Rico Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Puerto Rico Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

2025 Puerto Rico Open odds, favorites
Get full 2025 Puerto Rico Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Niklas Norgaard 18-1
Ryan Gerard 20-1
Michael Thorbjornsen 22-1
Pierceson Coody 25-1
Kevin Roy 28-1
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 28-1
Adam Svensson 28-1
Bud Cauley 28-1
Adam Schenk 30-1
Rico Hoey 30-1
Chan Kim 30-1
Matthias Schmid 35-1
Patrick Fishburn 35-1
Matt Wallace 35-1
Takumi Kanaya 40-1
Matthew Jordan 40-1
Lanto Griffin 40-1
Quade Cummins 40-1
Ben Kohles 40-1
Antoine Rozner 40-1
Brice Garnett 40-1
Henrik Norlander 45-1
Hayden Springer 45-1
Alejandro Tosti 45-1
Joseph Bramlett 45-1
Vince Whaley 45-1
Wesley Bryan 50-1
Chris Gotterup 50-1
Matteo Manassero 50-1
Thriston Lawrence 55-1
Angel Ayora 55-1
Carson Young 60-1
Jeremy Paul 60-1
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 60-1
Taylor Montgomery 60-1
Ricky Castillo 60-1
Karl Vilips 60-1
Chad Ramey 65-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 65-1
Garrick Higgo 70-1
Trey Mullinax 70-1
Dylan Wu 70-1
Rikuya Hoshino 70-1
Steven Fisk 70-1
Nick Hardy 70-1
Danny Walker 75-1
Cameron Champ 75-1
Robby Shelton 80-1
Kevin Chappell 90-1
Blades Brown 90-1
Tim Widing 90-1
Kevin Tway 90-1
William Mouw 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Justin Hastings 100-1
Tyler Duncan 100-1
Martin Laird 100-1
Zac Blair 100-1
Trace Crowe 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Chris Nido 125-1
Thomas Rosenmueller 125-1
Harry Higgs 125-1
Matthew NeSmith 125-1
Paul Peterson 150-1
Aaron Baddeley 150-1
David Lipsky 150-1
John Pak 150-1
Chesson Hadley 150-1
Carl Yuan 150-1
Brandt Snedeker 150-1
Taylor Dickson 150-1
Noah Goodwin 150-1
Norman Xiong 175-1
Scott Piercy 175-1
Matthew Riedel 175-1
Will Chandler 175-1
Davis Riley 175-1
Cristobal Del Solar 200-1
Chez Reavie 200-1
Ryan Brehm 200-1
Trevor Cone 200-1
William McGirt 200-1
Camilo Villegas 200-1
Hayden Buckley 225-1
Richy Werenski 225-1
James Hahn 250-1
Connor Williams 250-1
Braden Thornberry 250-1
Troy Merritt 250-1
Kevin Velo 250-1
Austin Cook 250-1
Jonathan Byrd 275-1
Sang-Moon Bae 275-1
Mason Andersen 300-1
Jason Dufner 300-1
Ryan Palmer 350-1
Bill Haas 350-1
Kieron Van Wyk 400-1
Adam Long 400-1
Anders Albertson 400-1
Ryan Armour 500-1
Robert Streb 500-1
Cody Gribble 500-1
Kaito Onishi 500-1
Philip Knowles 500-1
Sean OHair 500-1
Brett White 500-1
Ben Warian 750-1
Brian Stuard 750-1
Santiago De La Fuente 750-1
Tommy Gainey 750-1
Sung Kang 1000-1
Ben Crane 1500-1
Kelvin Hernandez 1500-1
Jim Herman 1500-1
Vince Covello 2500-1
Gustavo Rangel 2500-1
David Hearn 2500-1
Ben Polland 2500-1
George McNeill 2500-1
Max Kennedy 2500-1
Nick Watney 2500-1
Kyle Stanley 2500-1
Reinaldo Simoni 2500-1
Andrew Filbert 2500-1

Where to bet on PGA Tour tournaments
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on the Puerto Rico Open along with the various PGA Tour sportsbook promos they currently offer.

Byadmin

 Justin Thomas among longshots to back at Bay Hill

The fourth signature event of the 2025 PGA Tour season takes place this week with the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Scottie Scheffler, winner of two of the last three Arnold Palmer Invitationals, is the +320 favorite (risk $100 to win $320), according to the latest 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Scheffler is -300 (risk $300 to win $100) to finish inside the top 10 and -150 to record a top-five finish. But if you are looking to score a bigger payday when making 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational bets, Scheffler likely isn’t your target. Who are some longshots that can pull off a shocking result at the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, which tees off from Bay Hill Golf Course in Florida on Thursday, March 6? The first round is set to get underway at 7:40 a.m. ET.

Sandwiched between Scheffer’s two victories is Kurt Kitayama, who won as one of the longest longshots in the Arnold Palmer Invitational field in 2023. Given significant longshots have proven the ability to win at Bay Hill recently, could golfers like Matt Fitzpatrick (55-1), Shane Lowry (65-1) or Jason Day (80-1) have value in your 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational bets? Lowry has finished T-11 or better in two of his last three starts on tour and is +300 (risk $100 to win $300) to finish inside the top 10 this week. Before locking in your 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.

Now that the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. Here are three Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers to target:

Justin Thomas (28-1)
Thomas has back-to-back top-10 finishes, most recently finishing T-9 at The Genesis Invitational. The 15-time PGA Tour winner is coming off a significantly stronger 2024 season than he had before, finishing 14th in the final FedEx Cup standings last year after missing the top 70 the year before. The 31-year-old finished T-2 at The American Express in his second tournament of the year. He is seventh overall in strokes gained, including fifth in strokes gained: approach to green. Thomas is second on Par 4s and putting average while ranking fourth in scoring average (68.5) and the model projects his strong start to continue this week. Now, see the entire projected 2025 Arnold Palmer leaderboard from the model that’s nailed 13 majors.

Tommy Fleetwood (35-1)
The 34-year-old finished T-5 at The Genesis Invitational in his last tournament and rebounded from an opening round 75 to shoot three rounds below 70. He shot a 68 in his final round to climb into the top five as he enters a tournament where he’s had previous success. Fleetwood has three top-10 finishes over eight career appearances at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, including finishing T-3 in 2019. Fleetwood is No. 1 in strokes gained: approach to green early into the 2025 PGA Tour season and eighth overall in strokes gained. Get Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald, who gave out Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express, right here.

Viktor Hovland (55-1)
Hovland missed the cut at The Genesis Invitational and hasn’t finished inside the top 20 in any of his first three tournaments this season. However, Hovland was 12th in the final FedEx Cup standings last year while finishing in the top 25 in half of his events (eight of 16). He was the FedEx Cup champion the year before with elite consistency and 18 top-25 finishes over 23 events in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. His slow start has drastically impacted his odds to the point where the model projects him as one of the best values in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field. Hovland has made the cut in each of his previous six Arnold Palmer Invitationals, including finishing T-2 in 2022. Now, see the entire projected 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard from the model that’s nailed 13 majors.

Full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025 picks
You’ve seen the latest longshots from the model. Now, see the Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard, including forecasted finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg, Xander Schauffele, and more. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

You can also view expert advice before locking in your PGA Tour picks: Visit SportsLine now to see golf insider Patrick McDonald’s best bets for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert who gave out Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express.

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field, golfers
Get full 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +320
Rory McIlroy +750
Ludvig Aberg +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Justin Thomas +2800
Patrick Cantlay +3000
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Sungjae Im +4500
Will Zalatoris +5000
Sam Burns +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Maverick McNealy +5500
Wyndham Clark +6000
Robert MacIntyre +6000
Tony Finau +6000
Russell Henley +6500
Shane Lowry +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Sepp Straka +7000
Corey Conners +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Tom Kim +7500
Michael Kim +8000
Jason Day +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Jake Knapp +8000
Denny Mccarthy +9000
Adam Scott +9000
Min Woo Lee +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Billy Horschel +10000
Aaron Rai +11000
Max Greyserman +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Samuel Stevens +11000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Cameron Young +11000
Sahith Theegala +11000
Thomas Detry +11000
Lucas Glover +12000
Brian Harman +12000
Alex Smalley +12000|
J.T. Poston +12000
Aldrich Potgieter +12000
Byeong Hun An +12000
Taylor Moore +12000
Nick Taylor +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Isaiah Salinda +15000

Where to bet on PGA Tour tournaments
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, along with the various PGA Tour sportsbook promos they currently offer.